Top prize
- Input
- Mega Millions, aposta simples
- Expected output
- 1 em 290.472.336
Matching everything.
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Mega Millions odds
On Mega Millions you play 5 numbers + 1 Mega Ball (1 to 24) and the top-tier chance is 1 in 290,472,336. See the exact probability of every prize tier.
Matching everything.
Much more accessible.
With a simple 6-number bet, the odds of hitting the jackpot are 1 in 50,063,860. Marking more numbers raises the probability in proportion to the games covered.
With a simple bet, Mega Millions's top-tier chance is 1 in 290,472,336. The tool also shows the chance of every lower tier.
With the hypergeometric model, using exact combinatorial arithmetic for each prize tier.
The only way is to play more combinations. No specific number is more likely than another.
This lottery has a fixed bet of 5 numbers + 1 Mega Ball.
| Hits | Prize | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 + Mega Ball | Jackpot | 1 in 290,472,336 | 3.44e-7% |
| 5 | $2,000,000 | 1 in 12,629,232 | 7.92e-6% |
| 4 + Mega Ball | $20,000 | 1 in 893,761 | 1.12e-4% |
| 4 | $1,000 | 1 in 38,859 | 2.57e-3% |
| 3 + Mega Ball | $400.00 | 1 in 13,965 | 7.16e-3% |
| 3 | $20.00 | 1 in 607 | 0.16% |
| 2 + Mega Ball | $20.00 | 1 in 665 | 0.15% |
| 1 + Mega Ball | $14.00 | 1 in 86 | 1.17% |
| 0 + Mega Ball | $10.00 | 1 in 35 | 2.84% |
This lottery draws two independent pools: the main numbers and the Mega Ball. Each tier’s chance is the product of both probabilities, which is why matching the numbers without the Mega Ball lands in a different tier.