Single bet
- Input
- Mega Millions, 5 números + Mega Ball
- Expected output
- 1 em 290.472.336
It multiplies C(70,5) by the 24 possible Mega Ball outcomes.
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Mega Millions odds
On Mega Millions you play 5 numbers + 1 Mega Ball (1 to 24), with no option to mark extra numbers on the same ticket. The top-tier chance is 1 in 290,472,336, practically tied with Powerball as the toughest in this suite.
It multiplies C(70,5) by the 24 possible Mega Ball outcomes.
With no lever to mark more numbers, it only adds fixed tickets.
The most accessible tier requires none of the 5 main numbers.
With a simple 6-number bet, the odds of hitting the jackpot are 1 in 50,063,860. Marking more numbers raises the probability in proportion to the games covered.
The top-tier chance is 1 in 290,472,336, the result of multiplying C(70,5) by the 24 possible Mega Ball outcomes.
No, the multiplier only affects the amount paid when you win; the chance of hitting each tier remains the same combinatorial math, with no influence from it at all.
By multiplying C(70,5), for the 5 main numbers, by the 24 outcomes of the separate Mega Ball urn.
No. Since the ticket is always a fixed combination, buying more separate tickets is the only lever, and no specific combination is more likely than another.
This lottery has a fixed bet of 5 numbers + 1 Mega Ball.
| Hits | Prize | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 + Mega Ball | Jackpot | 1 in 290,472,336 | 3.44e-7% |
| 5 | $2,000,000 | 1 in 12,629,232 | 7.92e-6% |
| 4 + Mega Ball | $20,000 | 1 in 893,761 | 1.12e-4% |
| 4 | $1,000 | 1 in 38,859 | 2.57e-3% |
| 3 + Mega Ball | $400.00 | 1 in 13,965 | 7.16e-3% |
| 3 | $20.00 | 1 in 607 | 0.16% |
| 2 + Mega Ball | $20.00 | 1 in 665 | 0.15% |
| 1 + Mega Ball | $14.00 | 1 in 86 | 1.17% |
| 0 + Mega Ball | $10.00 | 1 in 35 | 2.84% |
This lottery draws two independent pools: the main numbers and the Mega Ball. Each tier’s chance is the product of both probabilities, which is why matching the numbers without the Mega Ball lands in a different tier.