Minimum bet
- Input
- Mega-Sena, 6 dezenas
- Expected output
- 1 em 50.063.860
One single group of 6 numbers, covering exactly one simple game.
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Mega-Sena odds
On Mega-Sena you mark 6 to 20 numbers inside the range of 1 to 60. On the minimum bet of 6 numbers the top-tier chance is 1 in 50,063,860, and that figure comes from a single combination: C(60,6). Marking more numbers changes that figure, and that is exactly the math this page walks through.
One single group of 6 numbers, covering exactly one simple game.
The maximum allowed: C(20,6) simple games covered inside the same ticket.
Matching four numbers pays out far more often than the jackpot.
With a simple 6-number bet, the odds of hitting the jackpot are 1 in 50,063,860. Marking more numbers raises the probability in proportion to the games covered.
On the minimum 6-number bet, the jackpot chance is 1 in 50,063,860. That is the exact result of C(60,6), not an estimate.
Marking the maximum 20 numbers covers 38,760 simple games and brings the chance to about 1 in 1,292. The odds improve, but the number of combinations you are paying for grows by that same factor.
By simple combination, C(60,6): it counts every possible group of 6 numbers out of 60, with no order and no repeats, and divides one group by the total.
Only by covering more groups, either by marking more numbers or buying more bets. No specific number is more likely than another; each draw is independent of the last.
| Hits | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1 in 50,063,860 | 2.00e-6% |
| 5 | 1 in 154,518 | 6.47e-4% |
| 4 | 1 in 2,332 | 4.29e-2% |
The odds use the standard hypergeometric model of lotteries: the chance of matching exactly k numbers combines the drawn and the not-drawn numbers within the game's universe.